Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.034520 0.040207 0.046464 0.053851 0.062322 0.071722 0.082932
2025-08-31 0.025363 0.032603 0.041308 0.052506 0.066487 0.083320 0.105073
2025-09-07 0.020788 0.029106 0.039901 0.054844 0.074882 0.100701 0.136349
2025-09-14 0.016746 0.025328 0.037254 0.054872 0.080033 0.114427 0.164706
2025-09-21 0.013376 0.021717 0.034058 0.053395 0.082616 0.124720 0.189456
2025-09-28 0.011063 0.019165 0.031854 0.052822 0.086149 0.136468 0.217357
2025-10-05 0.009995 0.018337 0.032073 0.055851 0.095340 0.157414 0.261086
2025-10-12 0.008929 0.017295 0.031732 0.057836 0.102990 0.176661 0.304096
2025-10-19 0.007500 0.015337 0.029512 0.056268 0.104444 0.185961 0.331870
2025-10-26 0.006478 0.013939 0.028039 0.055741 0.107504 0.198071 0.365332
2025-11-02 0.005488 0.012419 0.026094 0.054033 0.108153 0.205960 0.392113
2025-11-09 0.004705 0.011175 0.024479 0.052689 0.109232 0.214585 0.420852
2025-11-16 0.004153 0.010341 0.023587 0.052710 0.113034 0.228776 0.461598
2025-11-23 0.003560 0.009306 0.022120 0.051343 0.113917 0.237563 0.493107
2025-11-30 0.003328 0.009074 0.022352 0.053606 0.122465 0.261998 0.557108
2025-12-07 0.002965 0.008452 0.021610 0.053621 0.126268 0.277358 0.604603
2025-12-14 0.002561 0.007643 0.020306 0.052169 0.126694 0.285838 0.638918
2025-12-21 0.002263 0.007056 0.019438 0.051604 0.129004 0.298424 0.682834
2025-12-28 0.002178 0.007043 0.020001 0.054567 0.139720 0.329958 0.769666
2026-01-04 0.002049 0.006878 0.020147 0.056508 0.148246 0.357469 0.850152
2026-01-11 0.001786 0.006260 0.018994 0.054973 0.148227 0.365910 0.889364
2026-01-18 0.001596 0.005825 0.018270 0.054457 0.150641 0.380081 0.942642
2026-01-25 0.001389 0.005291 0.017177 0.052786 0.149928 0.386881 0.979584